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Prediction for CME (2015-06-25T08:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-06-25T08:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8806/-1
CME Note: From AR12371. Associated with M7.9 flare.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-06-27T03:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-06-27T10:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: DBM
Prediction Method Note:

Output:

CME arrival at target (date & UT time): 27.06.2015 at 10UT
Impact speed at target (at 1.02 AU): 755 km/s
Input parameters:

CME take-off date & UT time: 25.06.2015 at 10h:30min
? = 0.10×10-7 km-1, w = 500 km/s,
R0 = 15 rSun, v0 = 1300 km/s, ? = 42°, ?CME = 40°
Rtarget = 1.02 AU, ?target = 0°

Lead Time: 38.15 hour(s)
Difference: -6.50 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) on 2015-06-25T13:21Z

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